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It was the worst attack on Israel in 50 years and I am salty, so, unexpected and so bloody that it's been compared to everything from Pearl Harbor to 911 when militants from Hamas and Palestine Islamic Jihad smashed through the Gaza border on October the 7th, they were just conducting a rage. They were embarking on an invasion that will become as Central to Israeli history as the surprise attack by Egypt and Syria that opens the Kippur War. And a comparison isn't accidental for strikes. The 1973 conflict caught the Jewish State completely off guard while Rail would ultimately Prevail over its neighbors, the failure to predict the attack would go down as the country's greatest intelligence failure until now with over 1200 Israelis confirmed dead at the time of writing the Hamas. Assault is thought to be the deadliest day for Jews since the Holocaust a day that would like to Clips, even the Yom Kippur War as opening salvos in the Israelis ikey. So how did this happen? How did such complex plans escape the notice of Israelis feared intelligence Services? Well, in today's war, a graphic special unit Dive deep into these spectacular failures that made October the 7th possible when assessing the salt from Gaza the began around Dawn on October the 7th 2023, major near dinar of the Israeli Defense Forces. Didn't mince words? This is our 911. He told journalists they got us for Americans, the statement likely brought back memories of Day in 2001. However, a boring ordinary Tuesday Morning in September suddenly shatters Americans' sense of security and seems to crumble alongside the towers collapsing into a dust cloud of anxiety of pain. And of Rage. It's evocative as if it was Major Dierden are statements likely underplayed the true impact of her master's attack as were on the Rocks? Pointed out Israel's much smaller population means the number of confirmed casualties October the 7th alone was the equivalent of 20,000. Americans being killed. A number that has since risen sharply and undoubtedly horrific as 9/11 was the attacks didn't end with Mast Al-Qaeda, operatives going door-to-door in American towns. Dragging people away as hostages or murdering them in the beds. Even the obvious comparison point in Israeli. History of the Egyptian and Syrian strikes that began the Yom Kippur War. Almost exactly 50 years ago, there was arguably nothing on October 7th. Shocking is the twin souls were they ultimately killed fewer people about 320 Israelis died on the first day and nearly All of them were soldiers nor did the Egyptian or Syrian Army's ever breached the nation's defenses to kidnap civilians. We mentioned this not to wallow in the unprecedented nature of her master's assault but to hammer home will be on Main seem in this video that this constitutes the worst intelligence failure in Israeli history. That is our job today to try and shine at least some light on just how that happens before we probably begin. We obviously should include a caveat, obviously, the Fallout from my Master's attack is still ongoing. That means Everyone in Israel, is in the mood to comb through the country's failures as cheap military spokesman rear Admiral, Daniel hug re told reporters quote first, we fight then we investigate that means the information we're working with is necessarily incomplete. The true picture likely would become clear the many months following much official soul-searching still thus far as anyone can tell right now there were some clear factors that fed into Saturday's disaster factors that will be analyzed in upcoming chapters first though. So that we want to emphasize just how big a screw up. This really was October. The 7th began with over 2,000 Rockets being fired from Gaza into Israel and a mixture of long-range missiles, shoulder-launched weapons mortars and homemade devices that are wildly inaccurate, while both Mars and Palestine, Islamic Jihad, repeatedly fired Rockets into Israel before. They've usually numbered in the dozens just amassing enough Firepower to launch, this barrage must have taken planning and operational secrecy on an extraordinary scale. I'll then come to the attack itself. at 45, Gaza, border and initial force of four hundred masked where they used explosives and bulldozers to break through and 30 points before flooding into Southern Israel at the initial assault Force crossed in up to 1100, additional Fighters followed as they did. So the observation towers were attacked with drones, paraglider units flew over fences, assault, cruising boats, and tried to land on beaches to assemble so much material for such a vast attack. Should have been impossible as there should have been the presence of so many fighters. The border as former US ambassador to Israel, David Freeman told NBC. I've never seen the Border breached in this matter. Usually
Even the one person from Gaza gets close to these Border are intercepted and neutralized long before they can do anything, even a massive claim that they were caught off guard by the ease of entering Israel. Speaking to reporters' leadership. Figure, all Ibarra hair declared, we were surprised by this great collapse, we were planning to make some games that take prisoners to exchange them. The IDF was a paper tiger given that Israel's intelligence service is regarded as the best in the world. It is staggering that plans of this magnitude were not noticed early. Earlier Garza is one of the most surveilled places on Earth with electronic human assets, monitoring everything that's happening. If the Mouse farts the government is going to know about it yet in the end, all that turned out to be the naught and Invasion plan that like, it could have been detected or went unnoticed until it was too late. The question now is how
In early assessments, Israeli officials speaking anonymously have repeatedly highlighted one major flaw at the border with Gaza, massive over Reliance on technology flagging the Gaza Strip on two sides, Israel's border system was dubbed by Former Defense Minister Betty Gantz as the iron wall and not to the country's Iron Dome missile defense system, but the phrase is misleading, come during images of an impregnable Bessel barrier, soaring high into the Sky Rose, and thick impractical iron daughter. Instead relied on technology to keep
Biddable the Gaza border bristles with radar Laughs out. What paper? This is a high-tech approach looking for biddable, the Gaza border bristles with radar and sensors that can detect any breach even if it takes place underground cameras, unmanned robots and remotely operated machine guns. Keep watch for any movement in the air, arrows, darts, provide a bird's-eye view, everything is monitored in real and relayed Back To Human operators and control rooms built over three years and costing billions of shekels. The Border was a response to Hamas's 2014 incursions into Israel fire network of tunnels, but was also called of a wider Drive in the Israeli military. Going away from boots on the ground and towards high-tech surveillance with a danger of a Yom Kippur War style attack from nation states to me on the Wane the IDF has turned in recent years towards strategies for defeating or containing non-state groups like Hamas and Hezbollah in practice. That boils down to heavy investment in stuff, like intelligence inside the capabilities at the expense of traditional forces, the Wall Street Journal as details. How the number of noncommissioned officers. True example was slashed by 10% over the last 8 years, or Or is breaking defense. Summed it up quote, the overall theme in Israel in the last several years has been investment in technology and digitization for Warfare end, quote, the Gaza border was part of this a way of harnessing Israel's world-class technical abilities to create a woman in crude terms self since it really seems absurd name is seems that the idea of group, fortunately, it worked out the armhole and a weak point that no one had thought. Such a foundation. So corroded so Rusty that they would bring the whole edifice crashing down. These would be either cellular towers that formed the backbone of the surveillance system. Speaking of the New York Times, Israeli officials have described how Hamas' first move was to use drones to attack and destroy the borders. Towers , unable to transmit or receive signals, the smart system was rendered blind. The census failed to report. The breaches soldiers and control rooms could monitor the attack of our cameras, but the IDF's technology Advantage, eliminated, amassed, didn't need anything. More high tech than bulldozers and explosives to smash holes in the fences unprepared for an old-fashioned ground. Assault those monitoring the Iron Wall were completely caught off guard? Yes, it wasn't only at the Gaza border where a Reliance on technology made the stage slow and complacent with the Iron Dome missile defense system. So good at shooting down dozens of rockets, no one seemed prepared for the idea that a barrage of thousands could completely overwhelm it on the intelligence side, the security services were so assured in their ability to monitor electronic networks. That they seem to have forgotten those conversations. Take place in reel life in the months leading up to the attack of intelligence wiretap to Hamas. Operatives, whose conversation seemed to indicate their no appetite for an overall relationship with Israel today. All those conversations may have been staged by an agency. Knew the Israelis were listening. You are the past. Leadership dish. Their phones computers and develops their plans through face-to-face conversations in the room. Shielded from Electronics, beeping of course. While they were over alarms on fancy gadgets, its real Security Services hadn't completely abandoned old-fashioned methods of intelligence gathering that had failed then. We want technology, it's doubtful. Things could have gotten as bad as they did know, it seems the other
Take everyone made was a classic one of human psychology. A mistake that has brought ruin upon Nations and army. Since the first human tribes fought one another in prehistory the mistake of underestimating your enemy.
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Are persistent. Belief What about me is touching flaws as human beings are persistent. Belief that even the most awful people could change that the abuser really will stop hurting their partner that the serial killer by truly feel some remorse for their victims on the scale, it seems like the Israeli State grown to believe this about a mask just days before the attack newspaper haaretz reported that an intelligence assessment conclude at the terror group wanted to crows avoid a full-fledged war with Israel and didn't want to jeopardize past achievements. That better the lives of the Gods and residents. It's from a purely material perspective. This made perfect sense, following the 2021 war in Gaza, the Israeli government made the decision to try and stabilize the strip's impoverished economy, offering the carriers of improved livelihoods to deter further attacks this from happening out tens of thousands of workers to Garza's two million residents - there's allowed them to cross the border into Israel to do jobs with salaries 10 times those in Gaza by one, count the money. This brought to the strip the improvement of the lives of 100,000 people with an economic picture. So he brought You to order a mass, but want you to hold onto their games. They certainly acted that way from 20 21 until October the 7th 2023, the group refrain from launching attacks even as Palestine Islamic Jihad continued firing Rockets into Israel. So convincing was the group's new focus on the economy that even some of them are supporters who criticize that we're going soft as one enormous Israeli official, limited to the telegraph they caused us to think they wanted money. It's no doubt helps this. It's sprinkled with examples of Terror groups, and militants, who voluntarily lay down their arms or dissolve after some peace agreement. On the other hand, it was still an awfully big leap of faith. Especially given the Hamas. Its founding document the Covenant literally includes passages saying things like Israel will exist and will continue to exist until Islam will obliterate it and the day of judgment will not come about until Muslims fight the Jews. Killing the Jews as a former National Security adviser he acted as an amateur or told the Washington Post is roommate. Made a huge mistake believing that a terror organization can change. Its DNA, get the blind spots in intelligence when further than just thinking cool is an awesome pretty chill. Now, as we said at the end of the last chapter, this desire to believe the best is fatally mixed with another dangerous assumption, but Hamas, or too weak to pose the threat names, like the Shin Bet, and the message is respected and feared the world over in Gaza. The intelligence Services seemed almost like ghosts able to assassinate Hamas leaders as they slept in their Beds able to destroy underground tunnels without warning as the security services, green, more convinced of their phone and vulnerability. It seems their simple taneous Lee lost any respect for her master's skills To avoid the terror group could rehearse their October the 7th operation openly, and have it dismissed as mere posturing and we really do. You mean openly here? The telegraph reports that Hamas constructed a fake Israeli settlement in Gaza to train attackers to fly, just filmed themselves training on paragliders to swoop down into populated areas. The idea that he's real Security Services were Not immediately firing others, practice taking hostages and firing Rockets. The idea that he's real Security Services were not aware of these exercises is just absurd. Most likely they saw them checked the exercises against intelligence saying a mask with no attack, and decide that the training was all to show a little propaganda stunt since nothing more than speaking to break in defense Middle East Institute, senior fellow glass. Orb was blunt in his criticism stating there was a failure of imagination first and foremost a total disrespect. The opponents with these words, he was echoing, the 9/11 Commission report, which found quote a failure of imagination to be the most important factor in why warning signals have an impending attack weren't taken more seriously. Sadly it now appears the same story unfolded in Israel, the regional superpower like America in early 2001. So convinced of its strength. But it barely paid attention to the terrorists plotting to do it harm. Just as with 911 Torres a catastrophe of this magnitude, can't be blamed on overconfidence, that the On technology, there were multiple other factors at play from Individual, incompetence to sheer bad luck.
We're making a video like this. It can be easy to focus only on systemic problems to try and interrogate the big picture and not sweat the details. And again history has shown that world events can hinge on small personal decisions had Archduke Franz Ferdinand, ordered his driver to return past the scene of an You receive.
Happens. It seems, this was at least partly true in October. The 7th in ways, both big and small individuals made decisions that alone were not humorous, but taken together added up to catastrophe of these. Perhaps the greatest votive will forever float around the alert. The New York Times revealed it had been sent just before the attack began noticing a surge in activity in Gaza. The Israeli intelligence sent a warning to soldiers at the border, on the way before Masters operational yet began. But as the paper of record notes, Get it, all the soldiers didn't get it, all the soldiers, didn't read it though. Seemingly minor decisions would turn out to be equally consequential; the same article also reports the stunningly bad decision to have all senior officers from the IDF's Garza division, group together on one base, when the Millers and storms that base. They effectively decapitated the division's leadership; almost every senior officer in the area was killed or kidnapped in the raid's opening hours as a result. No one was able to coordinate a coherent response. We measure these incidents. Lot of people try to cast blame for this massacre on Individual soldiers. Rather the point is to try and illustrate the cascading failures that needed to take place for something like this to happen. There's a reason that for all our guides, trying 9/11 was a one-off. It required a perfect storm of Wishful, Thinking intelligent say, isn't bad luck, learning to read the portents of such a storm. Could stop another from ever breaking out a game and the portents may not have even been that hard to discern and Anonymous Egyptian officials briefed Cairo. Told the Israelis something big is coming. Ready for that warning to be ignored within Israel itself. Some believe that this Litany of bad decisions, extended to the very top of government specifically left leaving newspaper hurries is accused. Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu of allowing a mass to remain in power in Gaza to act as a counter to the more moderate fat ruling party in the West Bank. According to the Paper Source Netanyahu openly gleams in 2019 at a meeting of his liquid party that quote anyone who wants to think the establishment of a Palestinian State as just boarded bolstering a mass and Money to Hamas. This is part of our strategy to isolate the Palestinians in Gaza from the Palestinians in the West Bank. Now, we should be careful to note that these claims haven't been confirmed by their Outlets still they speak to the potential naivete with which Israel's longest-serving leader near Vue de masas useful idiots who kept the Palestinians bickering internally rather than uniting against the Israelis in this telling the government's convinced itself. It was able to keep a mass in check but occasionally the tree. Nations euphemistically called. Mowing the grass would leave the group too weak to pose much of a threat, but strong enough to keep challenging for tars claim to speak for all Palestinians, is this true who knows? There's an Yahoo supporters? Would point to the fact that her Reds have been gunning for the Prime Minister for years. Now still The Mention Of Israel's prime minister does at least provide a springboard to bring us on to our last chapter today. The chapter where we discuss, how a paralyzed polarized, political system, diverted the nation's attention when it most needed to focus?
The basis of any good magic trick is to divert your audience's attention to get the focus on something innocuous away from what is really happening. It was eyeballing a way you could almost say that this is what Hamas achieved prior talked over the 7th even as they were preparing for an assault into Israel. The governments and intelligence Services were focused Elsewhere on the West Bank and the northern border with Lebanon here, though. Our analogy breaks down because it wasn't a mask that succeeded in diverting everyone's attention, but it was, the Israeli state. Himself, the full story is a little bit complicated, but the basic version is that Israel's current government came to power with heavy support among settler communities in the West Bank in many ways you could say, it was a government of. And for the settlers, the finance minister. Bezalel Smotrich for one is a vocal proponent of an X in the West Bank. And a strong supporter of Jewish settlements. Nor is my church, The only ones with some Coalition members rooted in these communities. It was only natural, the government would take more interest in the region particularly as violence the end of flare between extremists. Settlers emboldened by the new government and Palestinian groups hoping to destroy the settlements. The result was a recent upsurge in West Bank violence, violence the government was determined to get to grips with. So is it to the army, they saw months ago, there were 13 battalions stationed at the West Bank, to keep the peace by this June that number had grown to 25. That means thousands of ideal troops were reassigned to the region and troops. Who could have possibly been otherwise Manning the border with Gaza. We say possibly because there's
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Hand, no trade-off on the other hand, former idea of military intelligence Chief, a hero on cv4 Akash has been pretty explicit telling the Washington Post quote. There was a need for more soldiers so where did they take them from from the Gaza border where they thought it was calm? If this was the case, then it's hard to blame them. Not only was violence rising in the West Bank but the intelligence Services were briefing that Israel's biggest threat came from Lebanon in the north. where Iran Allied Hezbollah, holds large swaths of territory still. Even if it was on Edible the focus on areas far from Garza, undoubtedly contributed to the security labs around to Mars, not that it was the only contributing factor. There's also the little matter of Israel's recent descent into full-blown chaos. If you follow international news, you're no doubt aware of the major judicial overall netanyahu's government has been pursuing to strip away the independence of the chords, and effectively remove checks and balances on the ruling Coalition airpower, the merits or otherwise of this plan and neither here nor there. What's important is that? These proposed changes have shattered Israeli Society. Eating since the Jewish state has been roiled by the largest mass protests in his history, that may have affected the military's ability to do its job. Many reservists declared they wouldn't report for Duty others. Found their defense. We're getting sucked into a politicized gladiator Arena where they were forced to pick a side but this unrest was potentially blunting. The country's military Effectiveness did not go unnoticed by the defense Chiefs. Former Intelligence Officer Morel came out to publicly say the crisis was weakening Israel. The idea of a vision statement saying it was damaged, Comfortable, declaring the chief of his beloved, even feel comfortable, declaring the crows Israel once formidable Regional power, it's gradually eroded in face of Consciousness, self-assurance and humility. Wally judicial overhaul was an internal matter. It would be naive to think the disorder wasn't noticed by our masters. We're on the Rocks noted terrorists are always studying their enemies and probing for opportunities to strike, precisely 0, and their opponents are distracted or preoccupied with other matters and Israeli society has perhaps never been so distracted. A occupies the dividers, it was in these past months, a distraction, the may have ultimately had terrible consequences for everybody. So at the end of that analysis, then we're left with a few hints as to what went wrong, frustrating fragments of a whole picture or you can't make out fragments that are nonetheless, big enough for us to still see what a spectacular failure. This was in the histories of Nations. There are moments that bind people together and there are moments that drive them apart. Maybe you expose a culture at its best or maybe you expose the vulnerabilities and dangerous assumptions of a society grown complacent as we record this video. With the mask still ongoing, there's talk that things could get even worse than they are now. But Hezbollah might attack from the North or Syria from the East so that Israel May wind up going to war with Iran. If any of this comes to pass, then the coming weeks and months will certainly contain many of these moments moments when Israel, you know it's like never before and moments Things happen that it's people would rather forget you, no matter what the future holds there is no doubt that October the 7th will remain the date. Everyone remembers the day. When Israel, self-assurance crumbled as suddenly and just tragically as America's did on September the 11th 2001, we can only hope that when the dust finally, settles that we some chance to reflect to figure out what truly went wrong on that awful day and use that knowledge to ensure no generation of asked to live through such Horror ever again.
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